NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ MRSH
Points 73.5 64.0
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 20.2
Points From Free Throws 14.1 11.7
Shooting DUQ MRSH
Field Goals Made 25.7 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 59.6
Field Goal % 44.0% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 14.1 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 16.4
Free Throw % 73.4% 71.7%
Ball Control DUQ MRSH
Rebounds 38.4 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.5
Turnovers 10.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.2
Steals 7.5 6.4
Fouls 13.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ MRSH
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 70.0
% of Possessions with DUQ MRSH
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 28.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 18.9%
Turnover 15.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ MRSH
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 26.9%