NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU DART
Points 69.5 60.7
Total Points   130.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 27.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 24.4
Points From Free Throws 7.6 9.4
Shooting FGCU DART
Field Goals Made 26.3 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 51.7
Field Goal % 45.4% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 7.6 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 11.2 14.1
Free Throw % 68.1% 66.3%
Ball Control FGCU DART
Rebounds 34.0 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 5.9
Turnovers 8.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 7.2 4.1
Fouls 13.3 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU DART
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 60.0
% of Possessions with FGCU DART
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 20.2%
Turnover 12.8% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU DART
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 18.2%