NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP COR
Points 57.6 82.3
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 32.1
Points From Free Throws 11.6 14.8
Shooting COPP COR
Field Goals Made 20.1 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 56.3
Field Goal % 35.4% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 26.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.2% 68.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 11.6 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 20.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 74.2%
Ball Control COPP COR
Rebounds 29.7 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.1
Turnovers 14.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.9
Steals 6.8 9.7
Fouls 15.2 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP COR
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 69.5
% of Possessions with COPP COR
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 31.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 36.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.2%
Turnover 19.8% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 13.6% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP COR
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 35.9%