NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU SLU
Points 83.7 80.6
Total Points   164.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 29.2
Points From Free Throws 18.7 18.1
Shooting EWU SLU
Field Goals Made 27.5 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 56.7
Field Goal % 50.5% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 62.0% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 18.7 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 24.1
Free Throw % 77.5% 75.1%
Ball Control EWU SLU
Rebounds 32.2 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.9
Turnovers 10.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.4
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 17.5 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU SLU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 71.0
% of Possessions with EWU SLU
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 28.6%
Player Fouled 26.4% 24.2%
Turnover 14.6% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU SLU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 26.4%