NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU CHSO
Points 69.5 67.3
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 21.1
Points From Free Throws 15.3 13.4
Shooting NCCU CHSO
Field Goals Made 24.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 57.4
Field Goal % 42.5% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 15.3 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.2
Free Throw % 69.0% 69.7%
Ball Control NCCU CHSO
Rebounds 36.1 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.2
Turnovers 7.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.2
Steals 5.3 2.8
Fouls 14.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU CHSO
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 69.9
% of Possessions with NCCU CHSO
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 29.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 20.9%
Turnover 11.3% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 4.1% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU CHSO
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 29.8%