NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU SCST
Points 75.1 67.8
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 43.4 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 13.6
Points From Free Throws 13.8 16.2
Shooting NCCU SCST
Field Goals Made 27.7 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 55.1
Field Goal % 50.8% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 60.9% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 27.7%
Free Throws Made 13.8 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 22.1
Free Throw % 64.6% 73.3%
Ball Control NCCU SCST
Rebounds 31.4 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.6
Turnovers 12.6 14.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.9
Steals 5.2 4.0
Fouls 18.4 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: NC Central

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU SCST
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 69.6
% of Possessions with NCCU SCST
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 19.3%
Player Fouled 23.7% 25.4%
Turnover 17.4% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU SCST
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 33.1%