NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU SCST
Points 71.8 71.9
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 19.1
Points From Free Throws 20.8 16.7
Shooting NCCU SCST
Field Goals Made 22.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 49.3 59.2
Field Goal % 45.4% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 20.8 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 30.2 23.9
Free Throw % 69.0% 70.0%
Ball Control NCCU SCST
Rebounds 32.4 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 16.1
Turnovers 12.8 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.0
Steals 6.0 5.9
Fouls 16.1 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU SCST
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 75.4
% of Possessions with NCCU SCST
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 24.1%
Player Fouled 27.7% 22.7%
Turnover 18.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU SCST
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 41.3%