NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU BALL
Points 66.9 74.3
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 22.7
Points From Free Throws 9.1 16.6
Shooting EMU BALL
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 54.7
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 9.1 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 21.3
Free Throw % 66.6% 77.8%
Ball Control EMU BALL
Rebounds 33.0 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.5
Turnovers 9.8 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 16.7 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU BALL
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 67.7
% of Possessions with EMU BALL
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 27.5%
Player Fouled 17.3% 24.2%
Turnover 14.2% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU BALL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 26.5%