NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC LOU
Points 80.9 69.6
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 16.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 15.0
Shooting BC LOU
Field Goals Made 29.2 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 56.5
Field Goal % 50.5% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 20.2
Free Throw % 74.4% 74.2%
Ball Control BC LOU
Rebounds 33.6 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.7
Turnovers 9.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.4
Steals 6.5 5.0
Fouls 16.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC LOU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 68.6
% of Possessions with BC LOU
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 22.5%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.9%
Turnover 13.5% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC LOU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 25.2%