NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER HC
Points 72.8 66.0
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.3 25.2
Points From Free Throws 11.0 8.8
Shooting AMER HC
Field Goals Made 25.7 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 51.9
Field Goal % 47.1% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 13.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 66.3%
Ball Control AMER HC
Rebounds 31.7 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 6.1
Turnovers 7.1 8.9
Blocked Shots 1.3 2.5
Steals 5.0 3.1
Fouls 13.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: American

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER HC
Total Possessions 63.1
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 60.3
% of Possessions with AMER HC
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 30.2%
Player Fouled 22.5% 20.5%
Turnover 11.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER HC
Shot Blocked 4.8% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 20.1%