NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC WAKE
Points 71.5 76.6
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 24.4
Points From Free Throws 11.2 14.0
Shooting BC WAKE
Field Goals Made 26.3 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 57.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 11.2 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 17.7
Free Throw % 74.4% 79.2%
Ball Control BC WAKE
Rebounds 32.2 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.6
Turnovers 9.4 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.7
Steals 5.0 5.4
Fouls 15.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC WAKE
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 68.1
% of Possessions with BC WAKE
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 28.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.5%
Turnover 13.5% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC WAKE
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 23.6%