NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER DUQ
Points 58.0 71.9
Total Points   129.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.8 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 25.4
Points From Free Throws 10.5 12.5
Shooting AMER DUQ
Field Goals Made 20.5 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 51.8
Field Goal % 40.2% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 10.5 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 17.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.4%
Ball Control AMER DUQ
Rebounds 29.0 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.1
Turnovers 12.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.8
Steals 4.9 6.2
Fouls 15.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER DUQ
Total Possessions 64.0
Effective Scoring Chances 59.9 62.7
% of Possessions with AMER DUQ
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 24.1%
Turnover 18.9% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER DUQ
Shot Blocked 7.4% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.8%