NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU JVST
Points 66.4 64.9
Total Points   131.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 16.1
Points From Free Throws 10.1 12.9
Shooting FGCU JVST
Field Goals Made 24.4 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 54.4
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 10.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 18.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 68.8%
Ball Control FGCU JVST
Rebounds 30.9 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.6
Turnovers 11.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.0
Steals 6.0 6.4
Fouls 13.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU JVST
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.4 66.3
% of Possessions with FGCU JVST
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 21.4%
Player Fouled 20.4% 20.6%
Turnover 17.0% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU JVST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 31.0%