NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU CAL
Points 78.1 81.2
Total Points   159.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 31.6
Points From Free Throws 17.3 16.1
Shooting EWU CAL
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 62.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 17.3 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.0
Free Throw % 77.5% 73.2%
Ball Control EWU CAL
Rebounds 34.5 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 11.4
Turnovers 11.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 4.1 6.5
Fouls 16.3 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU CAL
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 76.4
% of Possessions with EWU CAL
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 32.2%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.1%
Turnover 15.8% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU CAL
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 29.5%