NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU STET
Points 72.4 72.2
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 28.7
Points From Free Throws 8.5 12.6
Shooting FGCU STET
Field Goals Made 28.0 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 55.4
Field Goal % 46.2% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 8.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.4 16.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 75.1%
Ball Control FGCU STET
Rebounds 35.2 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 7.7
Turnovers 8.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.3
Steals 5.4 4.8
Fouls 13.7 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU STET
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 65.5
% of Possessions with FGCU STET
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 34.1%
Player Fouled 17.7% 20.6%
Turnover 12.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU STET
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 23.6%