NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU NJIT
Points 72.1 64.6
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 28.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 24.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 11.7
Shooting FGCU NJIT
Field Goals Made 26.2 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.8
Field Goal % 46.7% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.2 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 16.2
Free Throw % 68.1% 72.1%
Ball Control FGCU NJIT
Rebounds 38.3 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.6
Turnovers 10.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.5
Steals 5.5 6.3
Fouls 12.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU NJIT
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 67.6
% of Possessions with FGCU NJIT
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 33.1%
Player Fouled 21.9% 18.2%
Turnover 15.1% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU NJIT
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 25.5%