NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC VT
Points 73.6 74.7
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 25.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 13.7
Shooting BC VT
Field Goals Made 27.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 56.8
Field Goal % 47.3% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.1 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 17.1
Free Throw % 74.4% 79.8%
Ball Control BC VT
Rebounds 33.0 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 7.3
Turnovers 9.3 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.3
Steals 5.4 4.9
Fouls 14.9 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC VT
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 67.0
% of Possessions with BC VT
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 31.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.7%
Turnover 13.5% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC VT
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 22.6%