NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU IND
Points 59.3 80.9
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 50.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 16.6
Points From Free Throws 9.2 14.3
Shooting EMU IND
Field Goals Made 21.9 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 56.2
Field Goal % 36.0% 54.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 25.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 9.2 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 21.7
Free Throw % 66.6% 65.9%
Ball Control EMU IND
Rebounds 29.9 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.4
Turnovers 9.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.0
Steals 5.9 5.2
Fouls 16.5 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU IND
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.6
% of Possessions with EMU IND
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 21.1%
Player Fouled 17.5% 23.7%
Turnover 14.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU IND
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 31.2%