NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN TCU
Points 67.9 84.6
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 22.6
Points From Free Throws 18.8 17.8
Shooting WIN TCU
Field Goals Made 21.5 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 49.9 60.8
Field Goal % 43.0% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 18.8 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 24.5
Free Throw % 69.3% 72.7%
Ball Control WIN TCU
Rebounds 28.6 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 14.4
Turnovers 15.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.6
Steals 4.8 8.8
Fouls 16.7 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN TCU
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 76.7
% of Possessions with WIN TCU
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 23.8%
Player Fouled 26.9% 22.8%
Turnover 20.9% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN TCU
Shot Blocked 9.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 41.0%