NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU DSU
Points 72.4 70.0
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 12.9
Points From Free Throws 16.1 17.4
Shooting NCCU DSU
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 56.1
Field Goal % 44.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 16.1 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 24.0
Free Throw % 69.0% 72.3%
Ball Control NCCU DSU
Rebounds 33.8 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.4
Turnovers 12.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 1.8
Steals 5.9 5.8
Fouls 16.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU DSU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 71.8
% of Possessions with NCCU DSU
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 17.4%
Player Fouled 22.5% 23.0%
Turnover 17.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU DSU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 34.6%