NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU CSUS
Points 77.4 67.8
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 27.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 26.7
Points From Free Throws 16.8 13.6
Shooting EWU CSUS
Field Goals Made 26.4 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 55.7
Field Goal % 52.3% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.9 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 63.9% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.8 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 18.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 71.7%
Ball Control EWU CSUS
Rebounds 30.3 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 20.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 12.0
Turnovers 11.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.2
Steals 5.6 5.5
Fouls 15.6 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sac State

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU CSUS
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 68.1
% of Possessions with EWU CSUS
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 31.0%
Player Fouled 27.5% 22.8%
Turnover 16.3% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU CSUS
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 33.5%