NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP NIU
Points 59.6 72.6
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 23.5
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.8
Shooting COPP NIU
Field Goals Made 20.3 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 52.5
Field Goal % 34.7% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 36.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 25.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 67.4%
Ball Control COPP NIU
Rebounds 31.4 42.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 12.0
Turnovers 11.7 13.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 5.2
Steals 7.2 5.7
Fouls 17.6 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP NIU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.1
% of Possessions with COPP NIU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 35.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 27.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 24.8%
Turnover 16.5% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP NIU
Shot Blocked 10.0% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 35.9%