NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO UTA
Points 74.3 82.3
Total Points   156.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 25.4
Points From Free Throws 15.6 24.5
Shooting GASO UTA
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 54.3
Field Goal % 42.8% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.6 24.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 33.2
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.6%
Ball Control GASO UTA
Rebounds 31.0 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.9
Turnovers 13.6 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.0
Steals 6.4 7.1
Fouls 21.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Arlington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO UTA
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 74.9
% of Possessions with GASO UTA
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 33.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 26.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 28.2%
Turnover 18.0% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO UTA
Shot Blocked 7.5% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 37.5%