NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU UNT
Points 58.4 75.9
Total Points   134.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 24.8
Points From Free Throws 9.9 13.5
Shooting EMU UNT
Field Goals Made 21.6 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 57.4
Field Goal % 40.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 9.9 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 17.9
Free Throw % 66.6% 75.1%
Ball Control EMU UNT
Rebounds 30.3 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.4
Turnovers 11.5 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.4
Steals 4.9 7.3
Fouls 13.4 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU UNT
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.0 68.6
% of Possessions with EMU UNT
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 29.0%
Player Fouled 19.7% 20.4%
Turnover 17.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU UNT
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 34.7%