NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO UNF
Points 78.9 78.3
Total Points   157.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 27.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 33.6
Points From Free Throws 13.7 17.5
Shooting GASO UNF
Field Goals Made 28.7 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 56.6
Field Goal % 46.2% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 26.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.7 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 22.7
Free Throw % 71.5% 77.2%
Ball Control GASO UNF
Rebounds 36.9 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.4
Turnovers 9.9 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.9
Steals 6.4 5.2
Fouls 16.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO UNF
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 70.2
% of Possessions with GASO UNF
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 31.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 37.0%
Player Fouled 19.0% 22.4%
Turnover 13.6% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO UNF
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 24.4%