NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN FUR
Points 76.6 77.9
Total Points   154.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 33.0
Points From Free Throws 17.9 14.6
Shooting WIN FUR
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 61.4
Field Goal % 48.1% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 26.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 17.9 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 20.1
Free Throw % 69.3% 72.6%
Ball Control WIN FUR
Rebounds 34.8 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 11.9
Turnovers 11.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.5
Steals 5.2 6.5
Fouls 15.0 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN FUR
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 74.1
% of Possessions with WIN FUR
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 30.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 40.8%
Player Fouled 26.6% 20.5%
Turnover 16.0% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN FUR
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 31.2%