NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC PITT
Points 68.6 75.3
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 30.4
Points From Free Throws 10.8 12.1
Shooting BC PITT
Field Goals Made 25.1 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 61.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 10.8 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 16.5
Free Throw % 74.4% 73.0%
Ball Control BC PITT
Rebounds 33.7 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.4
Turnovers 9.1 7.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.3
Steals 3.9 5.6
Fouls 13.9 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC PITT
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 70.9
% of Possessions with BC PITT
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 34.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 20.6%
Turnover 13.5% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC PITT
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 28.2%