NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO GSU
Points 79.4 80.8
Total Points   160.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 21.7
Points From Free Throws 15.1 18.6
Shooting GASO GSU
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 61.9
Field Goal % 43.9% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.3 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 24.8
Free Throw % 71.5% 75.0%
Ball Control GASO GSU
Rebounds 37.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.0
Turnovers 9.9 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.2
Steals 5.1 5.0
Fouls 17.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO GSU
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 76.3
% of Possessions with GASO GSU
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 24.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.0%
Turnover 13.3% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO GSU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 29.3%