NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU FAMU
Points 75.8 67.9
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 15.9
Points From Free Throws 18.4 11.3
Shooting NCCU FAMU
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 58.0
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 18.4 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 16.6
Free Throw % 69.0% 68.1%
Ball Control NCCU FAMU
Rebounds 35.3 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.2
Turnovers 9.7 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 6.3 4.3
Fouls 13.9 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU FAMU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 69.0
% of Possessions with NCCU FAMU
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 24.0% 19.5%
Turnover 13.7% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 28.9%