NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU FAMU
Points 74.5 61.8
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 17.1
Points From Free Throws 11.8 8.9
Shooting FGCU FAMU
Field Goals Made 27.0 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 57.0
Field Goal % 47.3% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 11.8 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 13.1
Free Throw % 68.1% 68.1%
Ball Control FGCU FAMU
Rebounds 36.8 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.2
Turnovers 10.5 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.0
Steals 6.8 5.5
Fouls 11.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Florida A&M

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU FAMU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 65.0
% of Possessions with FGCU FAMU
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 22.0%
Player Fouled 20.4% 16.9%
Turnover 15.2% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU FAMU
Shot Blocked 3.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 23.3%