NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU M-OH
Points 62.6 71.6
Total Points   134.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 25.3
Points From Free Throws 9.8 12.2
Shooting EMU M-OH
Field Goals Made 23.7 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 56.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 9.8 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 17.1
Free Throw % 66.6% 71.5%
Ball Control EMU M-OH
Rebounds 35.6 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 7.4
Turnovers 11.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.9
Steals 5.6 6.3
Fouls 15.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU M-OH
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 66.5
% of Possessions with EMU M-OH
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 30.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.4%
Turnover 16.0% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU M-OH
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 22.1%