NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC MORE
Points 61.8 69.3
Total Points   131.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 22.6
Points From Free Throws 12.9 15.3
Shooting KC MORE
Field Goals Made 21.1 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 51.0
Field Goal % 37.2% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 12.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 20.9
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.2%
Ball Control KC MORE
Rebounds 32.8 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 7.9
Turnovers 10.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 5.4 5.3
Fouls 16.4 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC MORE
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 63.8
% of Possessions with KC MORE
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 29.3%
Player Fouled 22.6% 24.2%
Turnover 14.8% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC MORE
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 25.7%