NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE USI
Points 75.4 60.7
Total Points   136.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 28.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 16.4
Points From Free Throws 17.7 15.5
Shooting MORE USI
Field Goals Made 24.4 19.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 54.7
Field Goal % 46.7% 36.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 39.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 20.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.1%
Ball Control MORE USI
Rebounds 38.0 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.8
Turnovers 10.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.9
Steals 5.7 5.4
Fouls 16.4 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: S Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE USI
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 67.0
% of Possessions with MORE USI
2 Point Attempt 34.7% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 23.0%
Player Fouled 25.8% 23.8%
Turnover 15.7% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE USI
Shot Blocked 3.5% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 23.5%