NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO SCUS
Points 77.0 71.3
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 21.6
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.7
Shooting GASO SCUS
Field Goals Made 26.2 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 55.4
Field Goal % 46.0% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 24.5
Free Throw % 71.5% 64.0%
Ball Control GASO SCUS
Rebounds 38.4 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.8
Turnovers 12.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.5
Steals 6.1 6.7
Fouls 18.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO SCUS
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 69.9
% of Possessions with GASO SCUS
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.7% 25.4%
Turnover 17.2% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO SCUS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 24.4%