NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU SUU
Points 83.7 74.8
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.8
Points From Free Throws 16.3 16.8
Shooting EWU SUU
Field Goals Made 30.2 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 59.8
Field Goal % 53.5% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 61.9% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 23.6
Free Throw % 77.5% 71.3%
Ball Control EWU SUU
Rebounds 36.4 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.2
Turnovers 12.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.4
Steals 4.9 6.2
Fouls 18.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU SUU
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 74.1
% of Possessions with EWU SUU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 27.7%
Player Fouled 24.7% 24.7%
Turnover 16.7% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU SUU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 26.5%