NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP PAC
Points 63.8 66.6
Total Points   130.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 19.3
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.6
Shooting COPP PAC
Field Goals Made 22.3 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 49.8
Field Goal % 39.7% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 23.9
Free Throw % 72.6% 65.1%
Ball Control COPP PAC
Rebounds 34.5 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.8
Turnovers 12.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.5
Steals 6.6 6.9
Fouls 17.7 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP PAC
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 64.6
% of Possessions with COPP PAC
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 24.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 25.4%
Turnover 17.2% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP PAC
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 24.1%