NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU DETU
Points 71.7 70.1
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 18.1
Points From Free Throws 10.2 13.0
Shooting EMU DETU
Field Goals Made 27.6 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.4
Field Goal % 47.3% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 27.8%
Free Throws Made 10.2 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 17.5
Free Throw % 66.6% 74.1%
Ball Control EMU DETU
Rebounds 35.0 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.7
Turnovers 10.9 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.2
Steals 4.8 7.2
Fouls 14.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU DETU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 67.3
% of Possessions with EMU DETU
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 27.6%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.2%
Turnover 15.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU DETU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 26.0%