NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU PRST
Points 79.6 71.5
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 27.2
Points From Free Throws 19.8 15.9
Shooting EWU PRST
Field Goals Made 25.8 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 60.6
Field Goal % 50.8% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.9% 41.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 19.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 22.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 69.4%
Ball Control EWU PRST
Rebounds 36.3 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 12.0
Turnovers 13.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.5
Steals 4.5 6.8
Fouls 16.9 20.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU PRST
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 74.7
% of Possessions with EWU PRST
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 30.2%
Player Fouled 28.5% 23.2%
Turnover 18.6% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU PRST
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 29.1%