NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO ULM
Points 81.5 73.8
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.5 14.7
Points From Free Throws 14.2 21.4
Shooting GASO ULM
Field Goals Made 27.5 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 56.1
Field Goal % 48.4% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 21.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 32.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 66.8%
Ball Control GASO ULM
Rebounds 33.2 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 13.8
Turnovers 11.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 1.9
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 19.6 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO ULM
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 75.8
% of Possessions with GASO ULM
2 Point Attempt 32.3% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 37.0% 17.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 27.0%
Turnover 16.2% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO ULM
Shot Blocked 3.5% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 35.9%