NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU ARIZ
Points 71.7 91.6
Total Points   163.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 27.1
Points From Free Throws 13.9 20.1
Shooting EWU ARIZ
Field Goals Made 24.7 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 62.2
Field Goal % 43.3% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 13.9 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 28.3
Free Throw % 77.5% 71.0%
Ball Control EWU ARIZ
Rebounds 28.7 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 13.4
Turnovers 14.6 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 4.8 8.9
Fouls 18.8 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU ARIZ
Total Possessions 75.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 79.7
% of Possessions with EWU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 24.4%
Player Fouled 22.6% 24.7%
Turnover 19.2% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 37.4%