NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS SBON
Points 68.0 75.9
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 21.1
Points From Free Throws 10.7 15.5
Shooting LAS SBON
Field Goals Made 24.5 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 57.9
Field Goal % 41.8% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 10.7 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 20.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.3%
Ball Control LAS SBON
Rebounds 31.9 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.1
Turnovers 9.6 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.2
Steals 4.3 4.9
Fouls 14.0 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS SBON
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 70.2
% of Possessions with LAS SBON
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 22.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.5%
Turnover 14.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS SBON
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 30.0%