NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS GW
Points 75.5 77.0
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 24.6
Points From Free Throws 9.1 15.7
Shooting LAS GW
Field Goals Made 28.4 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 67.7 59.3
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 9.1 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 12.7 20.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.4%
Ball Control LAS GW
Rebounds 36.9 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.5
Turnovers 7.4 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.1
Steals 5.7 4.2
Fouls 13.7 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS GW
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 71.5
% of Possessions with LAS GW
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 25.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 19.0%
Turnover 10.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS GW
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 24.1%