NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS DREX
Points 68.9 72.1
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 17.5
Points From Free Throws 9.6 14.0
Shooting LAS DREX
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 59.8
Field Goal % 42.2% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 9.6 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 19.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.0%
Ball Control LAS DREX
Rebounds 32.7 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.0
Turnovers 6.9 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.8
Steals 4.7 3.6
Fouls 14.4 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS DREX
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 71.8
% of Possessions with LAS DREX
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 53.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 19.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.1%
Turnover 10.1% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS DREX
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 32.6%