NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS TEM
Points 72.5 71.0
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 21.3
Points From Free Throws 11.6 15.1
Shooting LAS TEM
Field Goals Made 26.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 60.6
Field Goal % 43.8% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 11.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 21.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.1%
Ball Control LAS TEM
Rebounds 37.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.5
Turnovers 9.2 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.0
Steals 4.8 5.4
Fouls 14.6 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS TEM
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 73.4
% of Possessions with LAS TEM
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 25.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 20.7%
Turnover 13.1% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS TEM
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 26.4%