NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS PENN
Points 76.4 73.5
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 24.1
Points From Free Throws 9.7 11.9
Shooting LAS PENN
Field Goals Made 28.3 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 60.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 9.7 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 16.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.2%
Ball Control LAS PENN
Rebounds 34.5 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 9.7
Turnovers 7.1 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.9
Steals 4.8 4.0
Fouls 13.1 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: U Penn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS PENN
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 70.3
% of Possessions with LAS PENN
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 27.1%
Player Fouled 17.5% 18.9%
Turnover 10.3% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS PENN
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 27.1%