NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS SJU
Points 66.3 83.1
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 47.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 19.1
Points From Free Throws 11.4 16.6
Shooting LAS SJU
Field Goals Made 23.7 30.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 63.9
Field Goal % 38.2% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 46.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.6% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 11.4 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 22.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 74.2%
Ball Control LAS SJU
Rebounds 31.2 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 15.3
Turnovers 9.9 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 6.6
Steals 5.3 4.9
Fouls 14.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS SJU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 78.1
% of Possessions with LAS SJU
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 20.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.5%
Turnover 13.9% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS SJU
Shot Blocked 10.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 41.2%