NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU JAC
Points 72.5 70.9
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 20.0
Points From Free Throws 18.8 12.5
Shooting BGSU JAC
Field Goals Made 24.0 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 58.1
Field Goal % 44.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.8 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 17.9
Free Throw % 72.7% 69.8%
Ball Control BGSU JAC
Rebounds 34.5 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.6
Turnovers 10.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.0
Steals 6.0 6.4
Fouls 14.2 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU JAC
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 69.6
% of Possessions with BGSU JAC
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 22.0%
Player Fouled 26.2% 20.2%
Turnover 14.9% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU JAC
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 30.1%