NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU DUQ
Points 63.2 75.8
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 23.4
Points From Free Throws 15.4 12.1
Shooting BGSU DUQ
Field Goals Made 21.6 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 57.5
Field Goal % 38.9% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 26.2% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 15.4 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 16.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 73.4%
Ball Control BGSU DUQ
Rebounds 33.9 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.1
Turnovers 11.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 5.3
Steals 5.5 6.9
Fouls 14.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU DUQ
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 67.5
% of Possessions with BGSU DUQ
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 25.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 20.7%
Turnover 16.6% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU DUQ
Shot Blocked 9.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 25.5%