NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AFA TCU
Points 64.2 79.7
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 19.7
Points From Free Throws 10.9 18.6
Shooting AFA TCU
Field Goals Made 22.7 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 50.5 54.3
Field Goal % 44.9% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 41.7%
Free Throws Made 10.9 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 25.5
Free Throw % 68.7% 72.7%
Ball Control AFA TCU
Rebounds 24.7 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 18.4 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 12.5
Turnovers 14.2 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.0
Steals 5.7 7.6
Fouls 16.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AFA TCU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 60.0 70.1
% of Possessions with AFA TCU
2 Point Attempt 36.3% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 19.2%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.7%
Turnover 20.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AFA TCU
Shot Blocked 7.4% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 40.4%