NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU AKR
Points 67.0 75.1
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 23.4
Points From Free Throws 14.1 12.4
Shooting BGSU AKR
Field Goals Made 24.0 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 57.1
Field Goal % 41.4% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 26.2% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 17.1
Free Throw % 72.7% 72.9%
Ball Control BGSU AKR
Rebounds 34.1 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.6
Turnovers 9.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 5.1 4.6
Fouls 15.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU AKR
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 67.6
% of Possessions with BGSU AKR
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 28.1%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.6%
Turnover 13.6% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU AKR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 23.4%