NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL DSU
Points 73.2 63.9
Total Points   137.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 11.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.0
Shooting DEL DSU
Field Goals Made 26.0 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 58.9
Field Goal % 47.8% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 46.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 3.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 12.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 17.9
Free Throw % 70.4% 72.3%
Ball Control DEL DSU
Rebounds 36.4 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.4
Turnovers 12.6 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.9
Steals 5.2 7.6
Fouls 13.4 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL DSU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 70.2
% of Possessions with DEL DSU
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 56.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 15.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 19.1%
Turnover 17.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL DSU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 27.3%